WTPN31 PGTW 061500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (PENHA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (PENHA) WARNING NR 011    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   061200Z --- NEAR 10.1N 122.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N 122.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z --- 10.8N 121.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   071200Z --- 11.6N 121.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
061500Z POSITION NEAR 10.3N 122.5E.
06FEB26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (PENHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
290 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS TD 02W
WITH AN INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED AND BROAD LLCC AS THE SYSTEM
TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN PHILIPPINES. SUPPORTIVE
CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO QUICKLY DISSIPATE OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO PERSISTENT
VWS BETWEEN 20-25 KTS, WHILE ENHANCED COOLER, NORTHERLY WINDS
FUNNEL INTO THE SULU SEA ALONG THE SYSTEMS WESTERN PERIPHERY,
ERODING THE SURFACE VORTEX. TD 02W IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE
TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS INTO DISSIPATION,
WHILE SURFACE INTENSITIES DECAY TOWARD 20 KTS. NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY
GRADIENT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD SURGE EVENT WILL CONTINUE TO
LIMIT OPPORTUNITIES FOR RE-INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DUE TO THE WEAKENING SURFACE VORTEX,
JTWC CONSENSUS TRACK SOLUTIONS ILLUSTRATE A WIDENING CROSS-TRACK
SPREAD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THROUGH DISSIPATION AS THE CIRCULATION
OPENS INTO A SURFACE TROUGH. JTWC INTENSITY SOLUTIONS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ON EXPECTED INTENSITIES, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO
THE JTWC INTENSITY FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE 
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 
AT 061200Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS
12 FEET.//
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