WTXS32 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE) WARNING NR 011// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z --- NEAR 26.4S 53.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.4S 53.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 28.0S 57.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160900Z POSITION NEAR 26.8S 54.4E. 16MAR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 369 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED EASTWARD AND POLEWARD. A 160444Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE INDICATES WIND SPEEDS OF 40-45 KTS, WHILE ASSISTING WITH CURRENT POSITION ASSESSMENT TO THE WEST OF THIS PARTIAL PASS. ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS ALREADY LOCATED WITHIN A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE, WITH COOLING (26-27 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG (40+ KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ENHANCED BY THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH. TC 25S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRANSITIONING INTO AN ASYMMETRIC COLD CORE LOW AS IT TRACKS FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 160600Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 24 FEET.// NNNN