WTXS31 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FAIDA) WARNING NR 017// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FAIDA) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z --- NEAR 20.4S 48.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.4S 48.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.5S 46.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z POSITION NEAR 20.4S 48.3E. 05FEB25. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (FAIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 113 NM SOUTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DETERIORATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH RAGGED, FRAGMENTED SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD CENTER. EIR IMAGERY AND A 042228Z GMI 89GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS DISORGANIZED SHALLOW BANDING AND WEAK OVERALL CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A POTENTIAL LEE-SIDE JUMP, WITH A BROAD CIRCULATION SLOWLY DEVELOPING WEST OF CENTRAL MADAGASCAR IN RESPONSE TO MID-LEVEL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE DE- COUPLED SYSTEM. RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATES TROUGHING, WITH NO DISCRETE LLC OR CIRCULATION EVIDENT AT THIS TIME. IN GENERAL, THE DYNAMIC MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON SIGNIFICANT RE-DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THIS AREA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050000Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN