WTXS31 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BHEKI) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BHEKI) WARNING NR 018    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221800Z --- NEAR 22.9S 53.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S 53.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230600Z --- 23.2S 53.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    ---
REMARKS:
22NOV24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BHEKI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 176
NM SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM MEANDERING AND SPINNING DOWN. MORE STRATIFORM FIELDS ARE
SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND THE REMAINING DEEP
CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED AND DISPLACED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST.
THE SYSTEM IS ON THE EDGE OF MINIMALLY SUBSTANTIVE 26C DEGREE WATERS,
BUT DRY AIR IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY ENTRAINED INTO THE ENVIRONMENT.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HEDGED A BIT TO THE GENEROUS SIDE BASED
ON AUTOMATED ASSESSMENTS OF 39KTS FROM AIDT AND 38KTS FROM THE
CIMSS SATELLITE CONSENSUS. ADT AND DPRINT ASSESSMENTS OF 30KTS FACTOR
IN FOR A REASONABLE AVERAGE OF 35KTS. DUE TO THE STRONG DISPLACEMENT
OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE MORE LOWER SUBJECTIVE DVORAKS ARE
DISMISSED. THIS ONE IS TOAST FOLKS. TIME TO LET IT GO.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221800Z IS
1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN