WTIO31 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 004    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   130000Z --- NEAR 21.9N 63.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N 63.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   131200Z --- 22.2N 63.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   140000Z --- 22.5N 64.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 63.7E.
13AUG22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 252 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS EXPOSED
AND HAS BECOME MORE RAGGED AS THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS SHEARED
FURTHER WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EXPOSED LLC AND LINED UP WITH A MICROWAVE LLC
FEATURE IN THE 122238z GPM IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS AVERAGED 
FROM AGENCY AND AUTOMATED DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 24KTS TO 
42KTS. ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MOSTLY DUE TO 
HIGH (25+ KTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 03A IS EXPECTED TO 
RAPIDLY ERODE AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON 
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM 
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM 
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 12 FEET.//
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