WTPN22 PHNC 250300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 92E) REISSUED//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240251ZAUG24//
AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PHNC 240300)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.3N 118.3W TO 17.4N 125.7W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 250000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 16.2N 118.6W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92E) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.80N 114.60W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.20N 118.60W APPROXIMATELY 279 NM 
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CLARION. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE (15-20KTS) VWS, MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL 
OUTFLOW EQUATORWARD, AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST).  
GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE STEADY DEVELOPMENT WITH A WESTWARD 
TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS.MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES 
REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
260300Z.//
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