ABPW10 PGTW 071630 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS CORRECTED/071630Z-080600ZSEP2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZSEP2024//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061952ZSEP2024//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 07SEP24 0600Z, TYPHOON 12W (YAGI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 
106.9E, APPROXIMATELY 56 NM EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, AND HAD TRACKED 
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 070900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS 
SYSTEM.
      (2) AT 06SEP24 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 13W (LEEPI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 39.2N 153.4E, APPROXIMATELY 567 NM EAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 062100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS 
SYSTEM.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
7.2N 163.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 159.1E, APPROXIMATELY 899 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL WAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN EASTERLY FLOW 
AND NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 070258Z 
AMSR2 89 H MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED LOW-LEVEL CURVED BANDING 
OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. A PARTIAL 062312Z 
ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS 15-20 KNOT EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE EASTERN 
SEMICIRCLE. THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) BETWEEN 30-31C, LOW VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR OF 05-10KTS, AND AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. GLOBAL MODELS 
STRONGLY INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH-WESTWARD 
TOWARDS THE MARIANAS WITH SIMILAR TIMELINES FOR DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN 
08SEP0600Z-09091200Z. THE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE (GEFS, EC-EPS) IS IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE OVER THE NEXT 2-3 
DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
23.3N 135.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 135.7E, APPROXIMATELY 471 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A 
MONSOON DEPRESSION-LIKE SYSTEM, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS A LARGE 
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, WITH A RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS GREATER THAN 
100NM AND THE HIGHEST WINDS CONFINED TO THE PERIPHERY OF THE 
CIRCULATION AND A WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
IMAGERY SATELLITE (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD, DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LITTLE TO NO CONVECTION. GLOBAL MODELS 
INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 
48 HOURS WHERE IT WILL FIND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, 
INCLUDING LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WITH SHEAR OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 DEGREES 
C. IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY BROAD AND UNDERGO ONLY LIMITED 
CONSOLIDATION. IN THE EXTENDED RANGE, GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE SYSTEM 
WILL TURN WEST TOWARDS THE RYUKYU ISLANDS AND DEVELOP SOME ENHANCED 
WINDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD LLCC. FOR HAZARDS 
AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS 
AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: REMOVED SIGNIFICANT TYPOGRAPHICAL 
ERRORS.//
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