WTPN31 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 15E (NOLO) WARNING NR 080// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (NOLO) WARNING NR 080 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z --- NEAR 31.0N 145.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N 145.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 31.8N 145.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 32.4N 145.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 32.8N 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION NEAR 31.2N 145.5E. 10OCT26. TROPICAL STORM 15E (NOLO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 393 NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 15E HAS TURNED WESTWARD, AGAINST THE PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED RECURVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED QUICKLY AND BECOME SHALLOW, NOW DRIVEN BY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TS 15E IS ACQUIRING HYBRID CHARACTERISTICS AS IT STRADDLES THE 26 DEGREE CELSIUS ISOTHERM AND PULLS COLDER AIR INTO ITS CIRCULATION, BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TAU 12. OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, THE HYBRID SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN, OPENING INTO A TROUGH AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES TO 40-60 KTS. A LARGE AREA OF 25-30 KT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL MOVE OVER THE WATERS OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL HONSHU AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 101200Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (KOGUMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN