ABPW10 PGTW 031300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND 
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031300Z-040600ZOCT2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZOCT2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 03OCT26 0600Z, TYPHOON 26W (CHOI-WAN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 19.4N 145.9E, APPROXIMATELY 252 NM NORTH OF SAIPAN, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING 
TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 8.1N 167.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 167.4E, APPROXIMATELY 
47 NM SOUTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS 94W WITH A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER THAT HAS TUCKED UNDERNEATH THE SOUTHEASTERN 
QUADRANT OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. A 030910Z ASCAT-B PASS REVEALED 
A BAND OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHEN PERIPHERY OF 
THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(15-20 KTS), WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 94W 
WILL BE QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO 
CONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 
TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM//
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