ABIO10 PGTW 212230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/212230Z-221800ZSEP2026//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.9N 
86.5E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED 
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE 
SOUTHWEST. A 211823Z OCEANSAT-3 OSCAT PASS SHOWS A SWATH OF 25KTS ON THE 
WESTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A 
FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10KTS), 
MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-
30C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT OF A 
GRADUAL STRENGTHENING WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM IN PARA 1.B.(1).//
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