ABPW10 PGTW 140200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/140200Z-140600ZSEP2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.2N 156.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 153.6E, APPROXIMATELY 278 NM 
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF FANANU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH 
WIDESPREAD, FLARING CONVECTION CONCENTRATED TO THE EQUATORWARD SIDE OF A 
MONSOON TROUGH. THE BROAD, POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION HAS BEEN SLOWLY 
CONSOLIDATING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS), MODERATE RADIAL OUTFLOW, STRONG 
DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND A WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (29-30C), 
INDICATING HIGHLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE 
DISORGANIZED STATE OF THE SYSTEM WILL LIMIT THE RATE OF DEVELOPMENT IN 
THE NEAR TERM. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE STRONGLY AGREE WITH 
SLOW TO GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AND A 
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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