ABPW10 PGTW 151530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151530Z-160600ZAUG2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
22.8N 143.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 144.8E, APPROXIMATELY 197 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS A BROAD AND SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT FLARING CONVECTION REDEVELOPING THROUGHOUT THE 
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW TO 
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30C), AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS DEPICT A CIRCULATION THAT MOVES GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEAST BUT 
DOES NOT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW GOOD 
DEVELOPMENT BUT SHORT-LIVED DURATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH AND 
A SIMILAR TRACK TO THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 16W (NANGKA) INFORMATION DUE TO 
FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//
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