ABPW10 PGTW 230600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/230600Z-240600ZJUL2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.2N 130.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 129.7E, APPROXIMATELY 476 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF APARRI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(EIR) DEPICTS CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. 
THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS DISPLACED 
FROM THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION UNDER THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE EASTERLY 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS). A 221634Z AMSR2 89GHZ IMAGE REVEALS A 
LOOSELY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER, AND A 221307Z ASCAT METOP-C PASS SHOWS 
20 KT WINDS LOCATED 40-60 NM EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS INDICATES THAT THE 
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS IS DECREASING, AND THE SYSTEM, NOW ON THE CUSP 
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, IS SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT 
FOR DEVELOPMENT, CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD 
WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). 
GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
92W WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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