ABPW10 PGTW 200400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/200400Z-200600ZJUL2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
4.8S 161.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.5S 161.9E, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF HONIARA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS PERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 200102Z OSCAT-3 IMAGE REVEALS SURFACE WINDS 
OF 30-35 KTS IN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY, ALTHOUGH THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE 
ATTENUATED BY RAIN. THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR 
DEVELOPMENT FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
(28-30C), LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KT), AND GOOD 
RADIAL OUTFLOW. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL ENCOUNTER MORE HOSTILE 
CONDITIONS, CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG SHEAR AND ROBUST SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW, 
WHICH WILL QUICKLY WEAKEN THE LLCC. GLOBAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLES CONTINUE 
TO SHOW SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
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