ABPW10 PGTW 112100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/112100Z-120600ZJUL2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZJUL2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 11JUL26 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 28.7N 120.4E, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 112100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON 
THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.0N 146.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 145.3E, APPROXIMATELY 178 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELITE IMAGERY 
(EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH A PARTIALLY 
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCLUATION ON THE EASTERN SIDE. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT, 
AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. DETERMINSTIC MODELS 
DEPICT A BROAD CIRCULATION BUT DO NOT SUGGEST SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT 
WITHIN 72 HOURS. ENSEMBLE MODELS, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOW AN 
APPRECIABLE SIGNAL OF MEMBERS DEPICTING CYCLOGENESIS WITH WIND SPEEDS 
IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.93N 174.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.2N 173.8E, APPROXIMATELY 388 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFARED SATELITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING WITH ASSOCIATED 
DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVLEOPMENT, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30 C) 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. DETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICT A WEAK 
CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 
ENSEMBLE MODELS, ON THE OTHER HAND, SHOW AN APPRECIABLE SIGNAL OF 
MEMBERS DEPICTING CYCLOGENESIS WITH WIND SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS 
WITHIN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 1.A.(1) WITH 09W FINAL 
WARNING INFORMATION//
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