ABPW10 PGTW 111400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/111400Z-120600ZJUL2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZJUL2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 11JUL26 1200Z, TYPHOON 09W (BAVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 
121.8E, APPROXIMATELY 327 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 
10.07N 146.17E, APPROXIMATELY 336.7 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION 
PERSISTING NEAR A LOOSELY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE 
CONVECTION EXHIBITS SOME CURVATURE AND IS UNDER MODERATE VWS (15-20 
KNOTS). AN 111126Z ASCAT-B IMAGE REVEALS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION 
WITH UP TO 20 KNOT WINDS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. THE ENVIRONMENT 
IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE 
VWS, ENHANCED WESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29 TO 30C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97W WILL 
CONTINUE GENERALLY TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST BUT LIMIT NEAR-TERM 
DEVELOPMENT. THE RECENT ENHANCEMENT OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NEAR THE 
CIRCULATION SIGNALS THAT 97W IS OUTPERFORMING MODEL EXPECTATIONS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. 
MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW. 
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.93N 
174.78E, APPROXIMATELY 292.9 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION 
OVER A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH RADIAL OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. AN 111011Z ASCAT-C IMAGE SHOWS A TROUGH-LIKE FEATURE WITH 20-
25 KNOT WINDS WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW VWS (5-10 
KTS), STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 98W WILL 
CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST, WITH SOME 
POTENTIAL TO RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATE IN THE NEAR-TERM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT 
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. 
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) AND LOW 
AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2).//
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