ABPW10 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/302100ZJUN2026-010600ZJUL2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301251ZJUN2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/302051ZJUN2026//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.0N 164.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 164.6E, APPROXIMATELY 221 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF UJELANG. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING, GRADUALLY 
CONSOLIDATING WITHIN AN ELONGATED TROUGH AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS 
BEEN DEVELOPING OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (10-15 KTS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT 95W GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATING 
AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY TRANSITS NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. 
SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 301300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.8N 121.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 120.1E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER THE LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING IN THE 
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT ONCE IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTH 
CHINA SEA WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31C), LOW VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95E WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 
23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 
302100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2) TO 
HIGH.//
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