WTPN31 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (HAGUPIT) WARNING NR 020// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (HAGUPIT) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z --- NEAR 10.3N 131.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 131.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 10.9N 129.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 11.5N 128.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 130.7E. 10MAY26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (HAGUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 256 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KAYANGEL, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCE INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS 05W AS A WEAK, FULLY EXPOSED, AND SHALLOW VORTEX COMPLETELY VOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. ENVIRONEMNTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY HIGH (20-25 KTS) MID-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, AND POOR UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, OFFSET BY WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. HAGUPIT WILL CONTINUE DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, AND SUCCUMBING TO THE HIGH MID-LEVEL SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT NO LATER THAN TAU 12. BOTH TRACK AND INTENSITY MODEL GUIDANCE ARE IN STRONG AGREEMENT, SUPPORTING THE JTWC TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 101200Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 12 FEET.// NNNN