ABPW10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021800Z-030600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.2S 157.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E, APPROXIMATELY 468 NM EAST 
OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING AND SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP 
CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA 
INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW 
TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL 
GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT WITH QUICK 
CONSOLIDATION AND DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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