ABPW10 PGTW 012200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.2S 
158.1E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEGINNING TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING 
CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA APPEARS TO BE MODERATELY 
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM 
(29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK OUTFLOW WITHIN THE 
UPPER LEVELS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT 
ON A STEADY DEVELOPMENT AS 90P CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRANSIT WESTWARD AND 
DEVELOP WITHIN THIS POCKET OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AS IT 
INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
NNNN