ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.3S 159.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 158.6E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATING AND BROAD 
CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC). A 160119Z OCEANSAT-3 PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH A 
SWATH OF ELEVATED SURFACE WINDS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 
RANGING BETWEEN 20-25 KTS. ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS FOR 96P ARE FAVORABLE, 
WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, 
AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE SHIFTED 
THE TIMELINE FOR CONSOLIDATION 24 HOURS EARLIER WHILE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL 
WEATHER PREDICTION AND AI SOLUTIONS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 96P WILL 
TRACK WESTWARD TOWARDS QUEENSLAND, AUSTRALIAS EASTERN COASTLINE AS IT 
CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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