ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.7N 
145.0E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A VERY WEAKLY DEFINED LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPORADIC FLARING CONVECTION. A 
052303Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS A VERY BROAD CIRCULATION WITH SOME HIGHER 
WINDS IN THE UPPER RIGHT QUADRANTS WITH SOME 15 KNOT WINDS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT 
FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), LOW TO 
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 
THAT 95W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH AND THE AMERICAN MODELS ARE SHOWING 
A MORE INTENSE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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