ABIO10 PGTW 060000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/060000Z-061800ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051421ZMAR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
16.1S 121.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S 116.4E, APPROXIMATELY 314 NM 
NORTH OF LEARMONTH. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP FLARING 
CONVECTION LARGELY DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-
30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DELAY THE CONSOLIDATION OF 93S WHILE 
ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OVERALL 
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 051430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 25S INFORMATION DUE TO FINAL 
WARNING EXPERATION.//
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