ABIO10 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/051500Z-051800ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZMAR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051421ZMAR2026//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 05MAR26 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (TWENTYFIVE) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 11.9S 118.9E, APPROXIMATELY 408 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, 
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING 
ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
16.1S 121.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S 116.4E, APPROXIMATELY 314 NM NORTH 
OF LEARMONTH. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP FLARING 
CONVECTION LARGELY DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 
C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DELAY THE CONSOLIDATION OF 93S WHILE 
ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OVERALL 
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 051430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1) WITH FINAL WARNING 
INFORMATION, UPDATED TCFA INFORMATION IN PARA 2.B.(1)//
NNNN