ABIO10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/020600Z-021800ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.5S 
122.0E, APPROXIMATELY 88 NM NORTH OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) INDICATES FLARING CONVECTION 
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD, DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION 
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WESTWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), OFFSET BY HIGH NORTHEASTERLY 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KTS). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE 
MODELS PREDICT GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRANSITS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 
48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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