ABPW10 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/020300Z-020600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.9S 
152.5E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION 
OVER A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), CONSISTENT 
WITH THE 011811Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA 
INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOT), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-
30C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT THAT 91P WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH EXPECTED 
GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE SOUTH PACIFIC 
CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 23P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
28.8S 176.3E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT 
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED SUB TROPICAL STORM 23P "URMIL" DUE 
TO EXTRA TROPICAL TRANSITION.//
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