ABPW10 PGTW 020000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/020000Z-020600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.9S 
152.5E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION 
OVER A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), CONSISTENT 
WITH THE 011811Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE 
AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOT), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 
C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT THAT 91P WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH EXPECTED 
GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE SOUTH PACIFIC 
CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (SS 23P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 28.8S 
176.3E, APPROXIMATELY 467 NM SOUTH OF TONGA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY 
CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING 
BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 011749Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE 
DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), PARTIALLY 
OBSCURED BY UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER, WITH THE MAJORITY OF CONVECTIVE 
STRUCTURES SHEARED SOUTHWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN 
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE, WITH 
COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (25-26C), HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(30+KNOTS), AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT SUBTROPICAL STORM 23P WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD WITH 
A LOW POTENTIAL FOR REGAINING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 42 TO 48 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 984 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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