ABPW10 PGTW 250600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZFEB2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.6S 170.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 169.8E, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM 
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION 
WITH LOWER LEVEL TROUGH TIGHTENING, MOSTLY OBSCURED BY FLARING 
CONVECTION IN THE IMMEDIATE SURROUNDINGS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (5-10 KNOTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND GOOD 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT 98P WILL CONTINUE 
TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WITH GFS 
AND GEFS DEPICTING TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN ABOUT 48 HOURS AND 
OTHER MODELS A BIT LATER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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