ABPW10 PGTW 242030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/242030Z-250600ZFEB2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.6S 
170.5E, APPROXIMATELY 279 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 241349Z AMSR2 
IMAGE DEPICT FLARING, FRAGMENTED CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE 
SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF A TIGHTENING LOW-LEVEL TROUGH EVIDENT IN A 
241003Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS), 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30C) AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT 98P WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES 
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WITH GFS AND GEFS 
DEPICTING TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN ABOUT 48 HOURS AND OTHER MODELS 
A BIT LATER.    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 
18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B. (1).//
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