ABIO10 PGTW 200100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/200100Z-201800ZFEB2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200051ZFEB2026// 
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.9S 76.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S 76.0E, APPROXIMATELY 476 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO BUILD OVER THE CENTER OF THE 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AN 200600Z AMSR2 MICROWAVE IMAGE 
REVEALS FRAGMENTED CONVECTION TO THE WEST AND THE SOUTH OF THE (LLCC) AT 
THAT TIME, WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD BANDING SPIRALING INTO THE LLCC. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 DEGREES CELSIUS), 
MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, A POCKET OF DEEP MOISTURE ENCOMPASSING 
THE LLCC, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS) THAT HAS DECREASED 
DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. BASED ON RECENT ORGANIZATIONAL TRENDS, 
DEVELOPMENT IS ASSESSED TO BE IMMINENT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON 97S 
CONTINUING TO TURN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE STEADILY INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 32 TO 38 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE 
REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 200100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (SUBTROPICAL STORM 21S) PREVIOUSLY 
LOCATED NEAR 31.5S 42.1E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED THE TCFA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) AND 
DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 2.C.(1).//
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