ABIO10 PGTW 200200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/200200Z-201800ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191351ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 19JAN26 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DUDZAI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 21.7S 60.7E, APPROXIMATELY 213 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, 
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 191500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 26.0S 
37.2E, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION 
WITH A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AT THE END OF A 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A 200001Z ASCAT (METOP-B) IMAGE DEPICTS 30 KNOT WINDS 
CONFINED TO THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND MODERATE POLEWARD 
OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE CONTINUOUS DEVELOPMENT, WITH GOOD 
AGREEANCE THAT 98S WILL TRACK GENERALLY EASTWARD OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE 
CHANNEL OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).////
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