ABPW10 PGTW 181100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/181100Z-190600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180751ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 18JAN26 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 01W (NOKAEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
14.6N 125.5E, APPROXIMATELY 261 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.8S 157.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4S 157.3E, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST 
OF WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES 
RELEGATED TO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE 
AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), MINIMAL EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 
AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94P WILL CONTINUE TO 
INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 24 HOURS TOWARD 28-33 KTS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 993 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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