ABPW10 PGTW 180600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/180600Z-190600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 18JAN26 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 01W (NOKAEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
14.4N 125.2E, APPROXIMATELY 244 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
17.6S 159.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 157.7E, APPROXIMATELY 444 NM EAST 
OF WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
ASSOCIATED MINIMAL CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA 
INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KT), GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, 
AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C).  GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND 
ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT FOR SLOW INTENSIFICATION OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH 94P MOVING IN A NORTHWARD DIRECTION. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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