ABPW10 PGTW 170600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 17JAN26 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 01W (NOKAEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
13.5N 125.0E, APPROXIMATELY 242 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, 
PHILIPPINES, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.6S 160.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.6S 159.8E, APPROXIMATELY 469 NM 
NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A WEAK AND DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPORADIC AND ISOLATED FLARING CONVECTION 
THROUGHOUT THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
FOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE 
IN FAIR AGREEMENT OF 94P SLOWLY INTENSIFYING AND MOVING NORTHWARD OVER 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH STEADY 
INTENSIFICATION ALSO MOVING NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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