ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160152ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 16JAN26 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 01W (NOKAEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 11.2N 128.9E, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, 
PHILIPPINES, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
20.7S 159.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.6S 160.8E, APPROXIMATELY 387 NM 
NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
WITH SPARSE CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. A 160251Z AMSR2 89 
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWED POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS WRAPPING 
INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH POOR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27 TO 
28C). GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT 94P BEING QUASISTATIONARY AS IT SLOWLY 
CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING TO TRACK 
SOUTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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