ABPW10 PGTW 130600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.2S 160.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.3S 160.1E, APPROXIMATELY 389 NM 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION DISPLACED FAR TO 
THE NORTHEAST. A 122242Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS 25-30 KT WINDS IN THE 
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SLIGHTLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS), MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE 
ON 94P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODELS SHOW 
LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 3-4 DAYS, HOWEVER, THEY ARE 
CURRENTLY UNDERESTIMATING THE STRUCTURE OF 94P. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN