ABPW10 PGTW 121230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/121230Z-130600ZJAN2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.2S 
160.9E, APPROXIMATELY 399 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED, COMPLETELY 
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPARSE CONVECTION 
DISPLACED FAR TO THE NORTHWEST. A 121031Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWED A 
PATCH OF 30-35 KT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF A SLIGHTLY 
ELONGATED CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD UPPER-
LEVEL OUTFLOW, HIGH SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25 TO 30 KTS), 
AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29 C). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY 
AGREE ON 94P STAYING QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODELS 
SHOW LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 3-4 DAYS, HOWEVER, THEY ARE 
CURRENTLY UNDERESTIMATING THE STRUCTURE OF 94P. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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