ABIO10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/030600Z-031800ZJAN2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030151ZJAN2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 03JAN26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (GRANT) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 14.6S 65.5E, APPROXIMATELY 574 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, 
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.0S 88.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S 88.8E, APPROXIMATELY 493 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS STEADILY BUILDING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A COMPACT 
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 021504Z METOP-B SCATTEROMETRY IMAGE VERIFIES 
THAT A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN MONSOON TROF 
IS CONSOLIDATING, AND DEEPENING CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ON THE 
WESTERN PERIPHERY BUT RESTRICTED OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN SIDE. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT ON STEADY 
CONSOLIDATION OVER THE FOLLOWING COUPLE OF DAYS WITH ALL MODELS SHOWING 
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 11S (IGGY) INFORMATION DUE TO 
FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//
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