ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.3N 125.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 123.5E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) 
DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH 
WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. A 070118Z ASCAT 
METOP-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS THE BROAD NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION AS IT 
TRANSITS THROUGH THE PHILIPPINES AND INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS 
DETERIORATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE ENVIRONMENT 
INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (25-30 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (29-30 C) AND 
DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CAN BE ANALYZED TO THE EAST OF 93W. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL 
CONTINUE TO CROSS OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACT WITH THE COLD SURGE, 
BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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