ABPW10 PGTW 030030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/030030Z-030600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.0N 135.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 134.4E, APPROXIMATELY 621 NM EAST 
OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A 
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP 
CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL 
CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES WITH GFS SHOWING A MORE 
AGGRESSIVE INTENSIFICATION. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE 93W MOVING 
SOUTHWESTWARD AND ECENS SHOWING HIGHER INTENSIFICATION THAN GEFS.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM 
AND REMOVED 33W (KOTO) INFORMATION DUE TO FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//
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