ABIO10 PGTW 260200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/260200Z-261800ZNOV2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251952ZNOV2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 25NOV25 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (FOUR) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 4.7N 98.4E, APPROXIMATELY 614 NM SOUTHWEST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, 
VIETNAM, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 252100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.0N 79.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.5N 82.9E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA.. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 251948Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT 
A PARTIALLY OBSCURED, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
WITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN 
AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-
15 KNOTS, DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
(SST) OF 28-29 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT PORTRAYING 96B TO CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COASTS OF SRI 
LANKA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM AND REMVOED 05S (FINA) INFORMATION DUE TO FINAL WARNNG 
EXPIRATION.//
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