WTXS31 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) WARNING NR 027// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z --- NEAR 14.5S 127.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S 127.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 14.7S 127.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 15.0S 127.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 15.6S 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z POSITION NEAR 14.5S 127.6E. 24NOV25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 222 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAGGED WARM SPOT OR EYE FEATURE HANGING IN THERE, JUST INLAND OF THE KIMBERLEY COAST. SUBSEQUENT IMAGERY SHOWS THE EYE RAPIDLY FILLING IN AND DISAPPEARING IN THE EIR, THOUGH THE CENTER REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-DEFIFINED IN THE ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY OUT OF WYNDHAM AS LATE AS THE 242000Z HOUR. HOWEVER, THE CENTER IS BECOMING MORE DIFFUSE AND THE BANDING FEATURES ARE SHALLOWING OUT. THE INITIAL POSITION IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE RADAR IMAGERY, WHILE THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH LOW CONFIDENCE BASED ON A CIMSS DPRINT ESTIMATE OF 88 KNOTS AT 1800Z AND THE STILL WELL-DEFINED RADAR EYE PRESENT AT ANALYSIS TIME. NOW OVER LAND AND MOVING TOWARDS HIGHER TERRAIN, THE IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF A STR CENTERED TO THE EAST AND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TC 05S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 241800Z IS 965 MB. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (FINA) FINAL WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW).// // NNNN