ABPW10 PGTW 240600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/240600Z-250600ZNOV2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/ 240551ZNOV2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.7N 132.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 126.7E, APPROXIMATELY 128 NM 
NORTHEAST OF DAVAO, PHILIPPINES. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL 
AS A 240126Z METOP C 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT FLARING CONVECTION 
AROUND A CIRCULATION WITH A PARTIALLY OBSCURED LLCC AND AREAS OF 
FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHERN BOUNDARY OF THE CIRCULATION. A 
240129Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS A WELL CONSOLIDATED CIRCULATION WITH 20 KNOT 
WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER AS WELL AS 25 KNOT WINDS DISPLACED 140 NM 
NORTH OF THE PERCEIVED CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ASSESSED AS 
FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL 
OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS 
GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION 92W WILL CONTINUE TO 
CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRANSITS OVER THE PHILIPPINES 
WITH INTENSIFICATION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 240600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.     
  (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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