ABIO10 PGTW 161200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/161200Z-161800ZNOV2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.4S 
127.6E, APPROXIMATELY 199 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN. ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 160921Z F17 SSMIS 91 GHZ 
MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH 
PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS), MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). DETERMINISTIC AND 
ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 97S WILL CONTINUE TO 
STEADILY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH A GENERALLY EASTWARD 
TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1)//
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