ABPW10 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010900Z-020600ZNOV2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZNOV2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
  A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 01NOV25 0600Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (THIRTYONE) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 138.9E, APPROXIMATELY 18 NM NORTH OF YAP, AND HAD 
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.4N 138.9E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.8N 147.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 147.7E, APPROXIMATELY 188 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 
PARTIALLY OBSCURED LLCC WITH LOCALIZED BURSTS OF CONVECTION. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT 
WITH WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, MODERATE WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KTS, AND 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON THE 
SLOW CONSOLIDATION OF THE SYSTEM AS WELL AS ITS GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD 
TRACK, THOUGH GFS DEPICTS THE SYSTEM FORMING EARLIER THAN THE OTHER 
DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED 
AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.//
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