ABIO10 PGTW 261500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/261500Z-261800ZOCT2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZOCT2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 26OCT25 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (THREE) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 11.3N 86.1E, APPROXIMATELY 357 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.3N 65.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 66.3E, APPROXIMATELY 467 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAII. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY ALONG A POORLY 
ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
(28-29 C), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND 
ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 92A WILL CONTINUE NORTH. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.2N 87.5E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 
1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO WARNING 
STATUS.//
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