ABPW10 PGTW 161900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/161900Z-170600ZOCT2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.7N 137.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 131.5E, APPROXIMATELY 525 NM EAST 
OF LEGAZPI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED 
WITHIN PERSISTENT CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD AND 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 C), AS WELL 
AS LOW NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS). GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96W 
WILL STEADILY CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE TRACKING 
NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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