ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZOCT2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.4N 143.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 222 NM 
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
AND A 152352Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A WAVE LIKE FEATURE 
WITH NO DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), FLARING, AND 
DISPLACED CONVECTION SCATTERED PRIMARILY AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY 
OF THE ASSESSED POSITION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 
C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96W WILL STEADILY 
CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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