ABPW10 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080300Z-080600ZOCT2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080151ZOCT2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 08OCT25 0000Z, TYPHOON 28W (HALONG) WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 
137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 348 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAMP FUJI, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF 
A (WTPN32 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.7N 144.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 441 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING BUT NOT YET CLOSED LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN 
FLANK. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM 
(30- 31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DISAGREE IN INTENSIFICATION AND 
CONSOLIDATION OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. GFS HAS ILLUSTRATED A SLOWER 
TREND OVER THE LAST FEW DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 
DEVELOPMENT, WHILE ECMWF SHOWS STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 29 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 
FOR INVEST 95W.//
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