ABPW10 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031500Z-040600ZOCT2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZOCT2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 03OCT25 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 27W (MATMO) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 17.5N 119.4E, APPROXIMATELY 197 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT
60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 031500)
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 21.6N 
144.7E, APPROXIMATELY 264 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN. AANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) AS WELL AS A 031122Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS 
REVEAL A VERY BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE 
EASTERN PERIPHERY WITH NO DISCERNABLE LLCC. THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT 
PASS FURTHER HIGHLIGHTS THE WAVE LIKE NATURE OF THIS AREA (94W) WITH 
WRAPPING 10-15KT WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN BOUNDARY AND WEAK MULTI 
DIRECTIONAL WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN BOUNDARY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS 
FOR THIS SYSTEM INDICATE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO 
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KT), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
(28-29C) AND MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST OVER THE NEXT 48-72 
HOURS AND GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATE.   MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)//
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